The term political BANDITRY or political bandits is used in figurative speech to depict a political strategy that smart people use to acquire powers outside of the box of the usual- knowledge of the election ecosystem.
Political bandits are therefore not thieves or criminals, they are people with mental models ahead of the status quo and who design strategies to disrupt the status quo of power control.
Political bandits are basically mental or intellectual” rogues” because for every established success architecture, there are five other Blandside models that can trounce that architecture flat.
In history, Otto Von Bismarck, Adolf Hitler, Joseph Stalin, Mussollini, Napoleon and Charles De-Gaulle had such intelligence. In the modern democratic era, the likes of Steve Bannon, Nigel Farage, Alexander Nix, Alexander Oakes and Nigel Oakes used the Cambridge analytical platform to create a political BANDITRY strategy for Donald Trump.
In 2015, The coalition of ACN, CPC and N-PDP created a political BANDITRY vehicle that swept then Nigerian president, Goodluck Jonathan out of power seamlessly.
In 2019, the Band suffered a serious political crack within its founding structure, when most of the N-PDP members left the coalition and returned to the PDP, Atiku, Kwankwaso, Saraki, Dogara, Tambuwal etc and teamed up with the PDP.
The effect was for Atiku Abubakar to contest against Buhari in 2019 and lost by 2.5m votes, but brought in Adamawa, Bauchi and Benue states back to PDP.
In 2023, The Band is further divided into three principal groups representing the three top Political zones: Tinubu of Apc with South West votes of 16m. Kwankwaso of North West with 20m votes and Atiku Abubakar of North West with 12m votes.
Peter Obi of the #Obedient movement of Nigeria and constituency cannot be ignored with the South East votes of 10m.
In the old APC database intelligence, any combo between Buhari of North west 20m and Tinubu of South West 16m votes can produce a president. It is the reason why Tinubu is expected to be president in 2023.
However, in 2023, Kwankwaso with a smart forecast intelligence has already altered that calculation by returning back to the North West of 20m votes to become the game changer.
Kwankwaso is the only politician outside of Buhari who is supported with cult-followership in the North.
With PMB not in the ballot, the Kwankwasiya Movement will be the game changer in the North West.
The #Obedient Peter Obi is the Blandside candidate in this election, anyone who ignores him will lose the elections. The reason is simple; PO is the first candidate in Nigeria without a recognizable political structure that has attracted even unsolicited votes from across party lines, made up of youths, new voters, elites, volunteers and angry citizens.
He will corner votes from PDP and APC core states and deny leading candidates of crucial majority votes.
If Kwankwaso was not on the ballot, APC and Tinubu would have been home ball, but Kwankwaso and PO ballots is the password to the Villa in 2023.
With Governor Wike of the South South of 13m votes hanging around and Peter Obi of the South East of 10m votes on the ballot, 2023 will be the most closely contested election in our political history.
The only political Shoprite in 2023 is the North Central’s 13m voters. This may actually be the first presidential election to go into a run off for the top two candidates.
Despite the current 90m total registered voters for 2023 elections,
the INEC BVAS system and the electronic Transmission system of results, it may be difficult to produce more than 30m votes overall in 2023. Therefore any candidate in a combo that can muster 15m votes in the first instance may coast to victory.
Importantly, the elections will be determined by visionary blueprint-post PMB, political party structures, quality of the individual candidates, quality of volunteers and the strength of the running mate from his political base.
Any candidate who will campaign solely on the supposed achievements of PMB or continuity in that last eight years may inherit an F9 grade.
Lebo a former Speaker, CRS House of Assembly, wrote in from Abuja.
